FES publication is just one of a suite of documents we produce as part of our FES process.
For an overview of FES 2018 including the key messages, watch the short animation film below:
To download any of the 2018 FES copies, click on the links.
The main FES provides an overview of key areas and alongside, we also publish:
FES in 5, which is a summary document with key headlines and statistics from FES;
Scenario Framework document which details all the assumptions that are used as inputs into our models;
Data Workbook (v2 updated 17 July 2018) which contains the outputs from the numerous models, including detailed tables, graphs and charts;
Modelling Methods document which contains information on our modelling methodology and assumptions;
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) document (v3 updated 3 September 2018).
To find out more about what the key changes are from FES 2017 to 2018, check out the two documents below:
Regional breakdown of FES data
Our Future Energy Scenarios are intended to identify a range of credible scenarios across gas and electricity on a GB-wide basis. In order to support planning of the GB electricity transmission system, we split the GB-level data down into regional data sets using best available data. These data sets are published in November as part of the Electricity Ten Year Statement (ETYS).
In order to provide visibility and transparency of this work, below we have published a spreadsheet containing draft regional data for electricity in the four FES 2018 scenarios. We have also published the number of heat pumps and domestic electric vehicles per grid supply point in the four FES2018 scenarios. This data forms a starting point for our network analysis and should be considered draft at this stage as it may be modified for planning purposes in the subsequent processes.
FES 2018 draft electricity regional breakdown V3 (uploaded 14.11.18)
Regional split of FES heat pumps and EVs V1 (uploaded 14.11.18)
To assist with understanding of the spreadsheets, we have also published the corresponding Spatial Methodology Document below:
Spatial electricity modelling methodology V1 (uploaded 31.07.18)
Should you have any queries or comments on how we apply this regional split, please contact us at: firstname.lastname@example.org
Click here to view all past FES documents.
To demonstrate how we engage with stakeholders about the FES, the feedback we receive and how this is used in the development of our scenarios, we publish our stakeholder feedback document every year.
Additionally, the Electricity Ten Year Statements and Gas Ten Year Statements illustrate potential future developments to the transmission systems, and the System Operability Framework provides a view on how the changing energy landscape impacts future system operability.